Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 22:30 UTC

Score final : Rosario Central 2–1 Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rosario Central (Local)

Prévision 60.71%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -2.58%
Kelly -7.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.48%60.99%60.76%63.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.511.521.5870.92%66.05%65.79%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.81%7.24cote équitable
EV +17.41%
Avantage +2.05%
Kelly +2.32%
Croissance +0.404%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.27%13.61%13.76%15.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.906.966.908.5016.95%14.36%14.49%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.48%3.92cote équitable
EV -0.635%
Avantage -0.163%
Kelly -0.219%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.26%25.40%25.48%26.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.673.9029.41%27.40%27.21%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rosario Central (Local) : 60.71% ; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur) : 13.81% ; Match nul : 25.48%. Pour Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.24. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.50, soit une espérance positive de +17.41%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.41%E +2.05%K +2.32%G +0.404%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -1.91%E -0.496%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.41%E +2.05%K +2.32%G +0.404%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -1.91%E -0.496%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.92%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +10.50%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.158%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -0.635%E -0.163%K -0.219%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 20:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV +10.50%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.158%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55%EV -10.76%E -7.32%K -22.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.60%E +0.480%K +0.553%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.14%EV +1.11%E +0.152%K +0.176%G +0.002%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.58%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 22:05
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.44%EV -2.34%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.81%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.38%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.00%EV -7.72%E -5.08%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 21:45
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.06%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -13.79%E -9.71%K -32.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -13.79%E -9.71%K -32.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.11%EV -14.40%E -10.21%K -35.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.51%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-07 22:10
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.83%EV -4.69%E -0.680%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.83%EV -4.69%E -0.680%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -6.07%E -0.893%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.77%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.52%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.30%EV -8.84%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 22:00
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 22:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -8.33%E -5.52%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.97%E -8.26%K -26.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.21%EV -11.37%E -7.78%K -24.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.60%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.09%EV -9.54%E -6.41%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -13.67%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 22:04
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -13.67%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.72%E -5.08%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.12%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.22%EV -18.50%E -3.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 22:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.85%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-08-07 22:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.72%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-08-07 22:10