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Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rosario Central (Local)
Predicción 60.71%1.65momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -2.58%
Kelly -7.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.48%60.99%60.76%63.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.511.521.5870.92%66.05%65.79%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visitante)
Predicción 13.81%7.24momio equitativo
EV +17.41%
Ventaja +2.05%
Kelly +2.32%
Crecimiento +0.404%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.27%13.61%13.76%15.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.906.966.908.5016.95%14.36%14.49%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.48%3.92momio equitativo
EV -0.635%
Ventaja -0.163%
Kelly -0.219%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.26%25.40%25.48%26.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.653.673.9029.41%27.40%27.21%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rosario Central (Local): 60.71%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visitante): 13.81%; Empate: 25.48%. Para Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.24. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +17.41%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.41%E +2.05%K +2.32%G +0.404% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -1.91%E -0.496%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.41%E +2.05%K +2.32%G +0.404% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -1.91%E -0.496%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.92%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +10.50%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.158% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -0.635%E -0.163%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV +10.50%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.158% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-06 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55%EV -10.76%E -7.32%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.60%E +0.480%K +0.553%G +0.020% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.32I 13.66%NM 13.14%EV +1.11%E +0.152%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.58%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.44%EV -2.34%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.81%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.38%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.00%EV -7.72%E -5.08%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.06%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -13.79%E -9.71%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -13.79%E -9.71%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.11%EV -14.40%E -10.21%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.51%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.83%EV -4.69%E -0.680%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.83%EV -4.69%E -0.680%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -6.07%E -0.893%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.77%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.52%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.30%EV -8.84%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -8.33%E -5.52%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.97%E -8.26%K -26.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.21%EV -11.37%E -7.78%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.60%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.09%EV -9.54%E -6.41%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -13.67%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -13.67%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.72%E -5.08%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.12%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.22%EV -18.50%E -3.14%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.85% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.72% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |