StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Matchstart: 2026-08-07 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Rosario Central 2–1 Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rosario Central (Hemma)

Prognos 60.71%1.65rättvist odds
EV -4.08%
Fördel -2.58%
Kelly -7.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.58

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.48%60.99%60.76%63.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.411.511.521.5870.92%66.05%65.79%63.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Borta)

Prognos 13.81%7.24rättvist odds
EV +17.41%
Fördel +2.05%
Kelly +2.32%
Tillväxt +0.404%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.27%13.61%13.76%15.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.906.966.908.5016.95%14.36%14.49%11.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.48%3.92rättvist odds
EV -0.635%
Fördel -0.163%
Kelly -0.219%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.26%25.40%25.48%26.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.653.673.9029.41%27.40%27.21%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rosario Central (Hemma): 60.71%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Borta): 13.81%; Oavgjort: 25.48%. För Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.24. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +17.41%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.41%E +2.05%K +2.32%G +0.404%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -1.91%E -0.496%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.41%E +2.05%K +2.32%G +0.404%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -1.91%E -0.496%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.63%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.98%EV +11.19%E +1.39%K +1.59%G +0.178%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -3.18%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.92%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +10.50%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.158%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -0.635%E -0.163%K -0.219%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 20:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV +10.50%E +1.31%K +1.50%G +0.158%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55%EV -10.76%E -7.32%K -22.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.60%E +0.480%K +0.553%G +0.020%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.14%EV +1.11%E +0.152%K +0.176%G +0.002%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.58%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 22:05
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.44%EV -2.34%E -0.331%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -5.48%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.81%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.38%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.00%EV -7.72%E -5.08%K -14.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 21:45
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.06%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -13.79%E -9.71%K -32.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -13.79%E -9.71%K -32.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.11%EV -14.40%E -10.21%K -35.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.51%EV -3.31%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-07 22:10
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.83%EV -4.69%E -0.680%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.39%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.83%EV -4.69%E -0.680%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -6.07%E -0.893%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.77%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.52%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.30%EV -8.84%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -5.29%E -3.39%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 22:00
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -9.55%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 22:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -8.33%E -5.52%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.97%E -8.26%K -26.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -10.22%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.21%EV -11.37%E -7.78%K -24.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.60%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.09%EV -9.54%E -6.41%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -13.67%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.83%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 22:04
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -13.67%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.37%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.72%E -5.08%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.12%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -5.73%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.22%EV -18.50%E -3.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 22:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-07 22:10
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.85%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-08-07 22:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.72%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-08-07 22:10