Szkoła Kursów

River Plate v Rosario Central

Początek: 2026-05-16 22:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: River Plate 1–0 Rosario Central

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

37 bukmacherów (14 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

River Plate (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.56%2.30kurs godziwy
EV -1.55%
Przewaga -0.685%
Kelly -1.23%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.26

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.20%43.88%43.58%46.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.912.102.102.2652.36%47.71%47.62%44.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Rosario Central (Goście)

Prognoza 24.66%4.06kurs godziwy
EV +5.28%
Przewaga +1.24%
Kelly +1.62%
Wzrost +0.085%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.27

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.16%24.38%24.56%25.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.453.833.804.2728.99%26.09%26.32%23.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.78%3.15kurs godziwy
EV -2.43%
Przewaga -0.793%
Kelly -1.18%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.07

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.66%31.74%31.86%33.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.902.903.0737.04%34.52%34.48%32.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (37 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.84%EV -8.08%E -3.83%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.65%EV +5.28%E +1.24%K +1.62%G +0.085%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.51%EV -2.43%E -0.793%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 22:15
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.81%EV -10.26%E -4.98%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV +4.79%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.071%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.81%EV -10.26%E -4.98%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV +4.79%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.071%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 22:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 22:14
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -12.00%E -5.94%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 22:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.43%EV -8.79%E -3.06%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -13.74%E -6.94%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV +1.09%E +0.266%K +0.352%G +0.004%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.43%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 22:25
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -13.74%E -6.94%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV +1.09%E +0.266%K +0.352%G +0.004%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.43%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 22:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -1.37%E -0.344%K -0.458%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.79%EV -15.05%E -7.72%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -1.37%E -0.344%K -0.458%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 22:25
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.47%EV -1.55%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.43%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 22:25
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 22:25
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 22:25
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 22:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -3.84%E -0.985%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 22:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.07%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 22:21
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 22:24
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -5.81%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 22:25
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 22:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 22:25
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.54%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 22:25
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -7.54%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 22:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 22:20
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -3.29%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 22:25
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -3.29%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 22:25
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.07%EV -14.18%E -7.20%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.78%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.15%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-16 22:25
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.59%EV -10.50%E -2.89%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 22:25
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 22:25
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 22:25
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 22:25
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 22:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 22:25
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.18%EV -13.31%E -6.69%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -16.79%E -8.79%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-16 22:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -13.70%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 22:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.59%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -14.94%E -4.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 22:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%0.6%2026-05-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%0.6%2026-05-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%0.6%2026-05-16 22:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%0.6%2026-05-16 22:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%1.6%2026-05-16 22:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02%3.1%2026-05-16 22:25