La escuela de los momiosRiver Plate v Rosario Central
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
River Plate (Local)
Predicción 43.56%2.30momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.685%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.20%43.88%43.58%46.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2652.36%47.71%47.62%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rosario Central (Visitante)
Predicción 24.66%4.06momio equitativo
EV +5.28%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.62%
Crecimiento +0.085%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.16%24.38%24.56%25.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.833.804.2728.99%26.09%26.32%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.78%3.15momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -0.793%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.66%31.74%31.86%33.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.902.903.0737.04%34.52%34.48%32.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.84%EV -8.08%E -3.83%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.65%EV +5.28%E +1.24%K +1.62%G +0.085% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.51%EV -2.43%E -0.793%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 22:15 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.81%EV -10.26%E -4.98%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV +4.79%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.071% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.81%EV -10.26%E -4.98%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV +4.79%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.071% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 22:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -12.00%E -5.94%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.43%EV -8.79%E -3.06%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -13.74%E -6.94%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV +1.09%E +0.266%K +0.352%G +0.004% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.43%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -13.74%E -6.94%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV +1.09%E +0.266%K +0.352%G +0.004% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.43%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -1.37%E -0.344%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.79%EV -15.05%E -7.72%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -1.37%E -0.344%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.47%EV -1.55%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.43%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -3.84%E -0.985%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 22:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.07%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 22:21 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -5.81%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.54%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -7.54%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 22:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -3.29%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -3.29%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.07%EV -14.18%E -7.20%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.78%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.15%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.59%EV -10.50%E -2.89%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.18%EV -13.31%E -6.69%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -16.79%E -8.79%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-16 22:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -13.70%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.59%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -14.94%E -4.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |