L’École des cotesLangue:Français
River Plate v Rosario Central
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 43.56%2.30cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.685%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.20%43.88%43.58%46.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.102.2652.36%47.71%47.62%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rosario Central (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.66%4.06cote équitable
EV +5.28%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.085%
avec la cote maximale 4.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.16%24.38%24.56%25.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.833.804.2728.99%26.09%26.32%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.78%3.15cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.793%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.66%31.74%31.86%33.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.902.903.0737.04%34.52%34.48%32.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.84%EV -8.08%E -3.83%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.65%EV +5.28%E +1.24%K +1.62%G +0.085% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.51%EV -2.43%E -0.793%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 22:15 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.81%EV -10.26%E -4.98%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV +4.79%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.071% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.81%EV -10.26%E -4.98%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV +4.79%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.071% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 22:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -12.00%E -5.94%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.43%EV -8.79%E -3.06%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -13.74%E -6.94%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV +1.09%E +0.266%K +0.352%G +0.004% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.43%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -13.74%E -6.94%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV +1.09%E +0.266%K +0.352%G +0.004% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.43%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -1.37%E -0.344%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.79%EV -15.05%E -7.72%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -1.37%E -0.344%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.47%EV -1.55%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.43%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -3.84%E -0.985%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 22:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.07%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 22:21 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -5.81%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.54%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -7.54%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 22:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -3.29%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -3.29%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.07%EV -14.18%E -7.20%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.78%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.15%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.59%EV -10.50%E -2.89%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.18%EV -13.31%E -6.69%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -16.79%E -8.79%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-16 22:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -13.70%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.59%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -14.94%E -4.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |