Die Schule der Quoten

River Plate v Rosario Central

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-16 22:30 UTC

Endstand: River Plate 1–0 Rosario Central

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

River Plate (Heim)

Prognose 43.56%2.30faire Quote
EV -1.55%
Vorteil -0.685%
Kelly -1.23%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.20%43.88%43.58%46.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.912.102.102.2652.36%47.71%47.62%44.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Rosario Central (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.66%4.06faire Quote
EV +5.28%
Vorteil +1.24%
Kelly +1.62%
Wachstum +0.085%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.27

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.16%24.38%24.56%25.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.453.833.804.2728.99%26.09%26.32%23.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 31.78%3.15faire Quote
EV -2.43%
Vorteil -0.793%
Kelly -1.18%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.66%31.74%31.86%33.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.702.902.903.0737.04%34.52%34.48%32.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.84%EV -8.08%E -3.83%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.65%EV +5.28%E +1.24%K +1.62%G +0.085%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.51%EV -2.43%E -0.793%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 22:15
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.81%EV -10.26%E -4.98%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV +4.79%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.071%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.81%EV -10.26%E -4.98%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV +4.79%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.071%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 22:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 22:14
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -12.00%E -5.94%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 22:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV +3.56%E +0.847%K +1.11%G +0.040%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.43%EV -8.79%E -3.06%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -13.74%E -6.94%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV +1.09%E +0.266%K +0.352%G +0.004%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.43%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 22:25
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -13.74%E -6.94%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV +1.09%E +0.266%K +0.352%G +0.004%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.43%E -3.31%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 22:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -1.37%E -0.344%K -0.458%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.79%EV -15.05%E -7.72%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -1.37%E -0.344%K -0.458%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 22:25
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.47%EV -1.55%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.43%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 22:25
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 22:25
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 22:25
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -4.60%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.23%EV -3.10%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 22:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -3.84%E -0.985%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 22:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.07%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 22:21
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -5.07%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 22:24
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -5.81%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 22:25
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 22:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.31%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 22:25
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.54%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 22:25
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -7.54%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 22:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 22:20
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -3.29%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 22:25
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36%EV -3.29%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 22:25
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.07%EV -14.18%E -7.20%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.78%EV -10.00%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.15%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-16 22:25
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.59%EV -10.50%E -2.89%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 22:25
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 22:25
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 22:25
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 22:25
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 22:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 22:25
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.18%EV -13.31%E -6.69%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -16.79%E -8.79%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-16 22:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -13.70%E -3.92%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 22:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.59%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -14.94%E -4.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 22:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%0.6%2026-05-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%0.6%2026-05-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%0.6%2026-05-16 22:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%0.6%2026-05-16 22:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%1.6%2026-05-16 22:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02%3.1%2026-05-16 22:25