預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

River Plate v Independiente Rivadavia

開賽時間: 2026-09-06 22:15 UTC

最終賽果: River Plate 3–1 Independiente Rivadavia

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

37 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

River Plate (主隊)

預測 55.34%1.81公平賠率
EV -3.15%
優勢 -1.80%
Kelly -4.20%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.75

博彩公司預測分布
53.35%55.31%55.30%57.71%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.561.661.681.7564.10%60.07%59.52%57.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Independiente Rivadavia (客隊)

預測 17.68%5.66公平賠率
EV +8.56%
優勢 +1.39%
Kelly +1.67%
成長率 +0.143%

假設最高賠率為 6.14

博彩公司預測分布
15.65%17.73%17.67%19.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.755.285.256.1421.05%18.95%19.05%16.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 26.98%3.71公平賠率
EV -2.34%
優勢 -0.647%
Kelly -0.895%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.62

博彩公司預測分布
26.05%26.95%27.03%27.96%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.203.423.403.6231.25%29.28%29.41%27.62%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:River Plate (主隊):55.34%;Independiente Rivadavia (客隊):17.68%;和局:26.98%。 對於「Independiente Rivadavia (客隊)」,該估計相當於5.66的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.14,對應+8.56%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (37 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.51%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.65%EV +8.56%E +1.39%K +1.67%G +0.143%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.26%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV +4.32%E +0.732%K +0.881%G +0.038%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.71%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV +4.32%E +0.732%K +0.881%G +0.038%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.98%EV +0.429%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.64%EV -2.34%E -0.647%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.98%EV +0.429%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.64%EV -2.34%E -0.647%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -1.87%E -0.337%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 22:00
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 22:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -4.81%E -2.80%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -4.81%E -2.80%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -6.29%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.19%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 22:04
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.03%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 22:09
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.65%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 22:05
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -8.06%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 22:07
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -9.83%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.15%E -1.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:50
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.94%EV -12.56%E -7.95%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.94%EV -12.56%E -7.95%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -13.67%E -8.76%K -24.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.77%EV -7.03%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -15.13%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -15.13%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 22:00
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -16.01%E -3.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.68%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-09-06 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-06 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-06 22:10
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.33%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.86%2.0%2026-09-06 22:10
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-06 22:05