语言:简体中文
River Plate v Independiente Rivadavia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
River Plate (主队)
预测 55.34%1.81公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -4.20%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.75
博彩公司预测分布
53.35%55.31%55.30%57.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.661.681.7564.10%60.07%59.52%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
Independiente Rivadavia (客队)
预测 17.68%5.66公平赔率
EV +8.56%
优势 +1.39%
Kelly +1.67%
增长率 +0.143%
假设最高赔率为 6.14
博彩公司预测分布
15.65%17.73%17.67%19.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.285.256.1421.05%18.95%19.05%16.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.98%3.71公平赔率
EV -2.34%
优势 -0.647%
Kelly -0.895%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.62
博彩公司预测分布
26.05%26.95%27.03%27.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.423.403.6231.25%29.28%29.41%27.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：River Plate (主队)：55.34%；Independiente Rivadavia (客队)：17.68%；平局：26.98%。 对于“Independiente Rivadavia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.66。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.14，对应+8.56%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.51%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.65%EV +8.56%E +1.39%K +1.67%G +0.143% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.26%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV +4.32%E +0.732%K +0.881%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.71%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV +4.32%E +0.732%K +0.881%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.98%EV +0.429%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.64%EV -2.34%E -0.647%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.98%EV +0.429%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.64%EV -2.34%E -0.647%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -1.87%E -0.337%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -4.81%E -2.80%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -4.81%E -2.80%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -6.29%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.19%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 22:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.03%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 22:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.65%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -8.06%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 22:07 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -9.83%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.15%E -1.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.94%EV -12.56%E -7.95%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.94%EV -12.56%E -7.95%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -13.67%E -8.76%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.77%EV -7.03%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -15.13%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -15.13%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -16.01%E -3.37%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.68% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.33% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.86% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |