Langue:Français
River Plate v Independiente Rivadavia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 55.34%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -4.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.35%55.31%55.30%57.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.661.681.7564.10%60.07%59.52%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.68%5.66cote équitable
EV +8.56%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.143%
avec la cote maximale 6.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.65%17.73%17.67%19.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.285.256.1421.05%18.95%19.05%16.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.98%3.71cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -0.647%
Kelly -0.895%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.05%26.95%27.03%27.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.423.403.6231.25%29.28%29.41%27.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : River Plate (Local) : 55.34% ; Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur) : 17.68% ; Match nul : 26.98%. Pour Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.66. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.14, soit une espérance positive de +8.56%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.51%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.65%EV +8.56%E +1.39%K +1.67%G +0.143% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.26%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV +4.32%E +0.732%K +0.881%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.71%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV +4.32%E +0.732%K +0.881%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.98%EV +0.429%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.64%EV -2.34%E -0.647%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.98%EV +0.429%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.64%EV -2.34%E -0.647%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -1.87%E -0.337%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -4.81%E -2.80%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -4.81%E -2.80%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -6.29%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.19%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 22:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.03%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 22:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.65%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -8.06%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 22:07 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -9.83%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.15%E -1.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.94%EV -12.56%E -7.95%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.94%EV -12.56%E -7.95%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -13.67%E -8.76%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.77%EV -7.03%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -15.13%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -15.13%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -16.01%E -3.37%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.68% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.33% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.86% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |