StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

River Plate v Independiente Rivadavia

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 22:15 UTC

Slutresultat: River Plate 3–1 Independiente Rivadavia

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

River Plate (Hemma)

Prognos 55.34%1.81rättvist odds
EV -3.15%
Fördel -1.80%
Kelly -4.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.35%55.31%55.30%57.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.661.681.7564.10%60.07%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Borta)

Prognos 17.68%5.66rättvist odds
EV +8.56%
Fördel +1.39%
Kelly +1.67%
Tillväxt +0.143%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.65%17.73%17.67%19.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.755.285.256.1421.05%18.95%19.05%16.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.98%3.71rättvist odds
EV -2.34%
Fördel -0.647%
Kelly -0.895%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.05%26.95%27.03%27.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.423.403.6231.25%29.28%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: River Plate (Hemma): 55.34%; Independiente Rivadavia (Borta): 17.68%; Oavgjort: 26.98%. För Independiente Rivadavia (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.66. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.14, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.56%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.51%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.65%EV +8.56%E +1.39%K +1.67%G +0.143%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.26%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV +4.32%E +0.732%K +0.881%G +0.038%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.71%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV +4.32%E +0.732%K +0.881%G +0.038%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.98%EV +0.429%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.64%EV -2.34%E -0.647%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.98%EV +0.429%E +0.076%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.64%EV -2.34%E -0.647%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -1.87%E -0.337%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.57%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 22:00
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -8.13%E -4.90%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.58%E -4.54%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -2.75%E -0.501%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 22:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -4.81%E -2.80%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -4.81%E -2.80%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -4.52%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -6.29%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.19%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -6.47%E -3.83%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 22:04
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.03%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 22:09
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.65%EV -11.45%E -7.16%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -7.17%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 22:05
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -8.06%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 22:07
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -9.83%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.15%E -1.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:50
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.92%E -3.48%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.94%EV -12.56%E -7.95%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.94%EV -12.56%E -7.95%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -13.11%E -8.35%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -13.67%E -8.76%K -24.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -11.59%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -9.24%E -5.63%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.77%EV -7.03%E -4.18%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -10.90%E -6.77%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -13.36%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -3.71%E -2.13%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -15.13%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -10.35%E -6.39%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -15.13%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 22:00
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -4.26%E -2.46%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -16.01%E -3.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.68%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-09-06 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-06 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-06 22:10
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.33%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.86%2.0%2026-09-06 22:10
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-06 22:05