Language:English
Newells Old Boys v San Lorenzo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newells Old Boys (Local)
Prediction 36.81%2.72fair odd
EV +10.42%
Edge +3.47%
Kelly +5.21%
Growth +0.542%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.43%36.71%36.97%37.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.553.0042.55%39.24%39.22%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Lorenzo (Visit)
Prediction 30.53%3.28fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -0.906%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.88%30.64%30.48%38.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.943.003.2146.51%33.96%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.67%3.06fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.58%32.65%32.54%33.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.852.9538.46%35.35%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newells Old Boys (Local): 36.81%; San Lorenzo (Visit): 30.53%; Draw: 32.67%. For Newells Old Boys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV +10.42%E +3.47%K +5.21%G +0.542% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -32.84%E -14.93%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-26 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.59%EV +3.06%E +1.09%K +1.70%G +0.052% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.54%EV -34.36%E -15.98%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.87%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-26 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -2.10%E -0.789%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.18%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.40%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -2.47%E -0.930%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -12.99%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.95%EV -2.92%E -0.918%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.95%EV -2.92%E -0.918%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 06:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 06:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.61%EV -6.58%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.09%EV -7.56%E -2.67%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -5.78%E -2.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -7.19%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -7.56%E -2.67%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 17:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.92%E -2.06%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 08:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.00%EV -10.93%E -4.52%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.44%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -13.51%E -5.75%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -12.99%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |