La scuola delle quote

Newells Old Boys v San Lorenzo

Inizio: 2026-04-12 18:00 UTC

Finale: Newells Old Boys 0–0 San Lorenzo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Newells Old Boys (Casa)

Previsione 36.81%2.72quota equa
EV +10.42%
Vantaggio +3.47%
Kelly +5.21%
Crescita +0.542%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.43%36.71%36.97%37.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.552.553.0042.55%39.24%39.22%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Lorenzo (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.53%3.28quota equa
EV -2.00%
Vantaggio -0.624%
Kelly -0.906%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.88%30.64%30.48%38.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.943.003.2146.51%33.96%33.33%31.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.67%3.06quota equa
EV -3.64%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.58%32.65%32.54%33.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.832.852.9538.46%35.35%35.09%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV +10.42%E +3.47%K +5.21%G +0.542%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -32.84%E -14.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-26 20:54
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.59%EV +3.06%E +1.09%K +1.70%G +0.052%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.54%EV -34.36%E -15.98%K -29.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.87%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-26 20:54
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:30
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -2.10%E -0.789%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.18%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.40%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 17:30
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -2.47%E -0.930%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -12.99%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:30
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.95%EV -2.92%E -0.918%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.95%EV -2.92%E -0.918%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 06:25
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:29
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 06:25
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 12:35
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:29
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.61%EV -6.58%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.09%EV -7.56%E -2.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 17:29
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -5.78%E -2.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -7.19%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -7.56%E -2.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:30
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:29
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:29
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:29
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 17:26
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:29
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:30
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:29
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.92%E -2.06%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 08:24
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:29
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.00%EV -10.93%E -4.52%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.44%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 17:29
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:30
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -13.51%E -5.75%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -12.99%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 17:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%0.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%0.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%0.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%1.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%1.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38%1.9%2026-04-12 17:30