مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Newells Old Boys v San Lorenzo
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Newells Old Boys (المضيف)
التنبؤ 36.81%2.72السعر العادل
EV +10.42%
الأفضلية +3.47%
Kelly +5.21%
النمو +0.542%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.43%36.71%36.97%37.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.552.553.0042.55%39.24%39.22%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
San Lorenzo (الضيف)
التنبؤ 30.53%3.28السعر العادل
EV -2.00%
الأفضلية -0.624%
Kelly -0.906%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.21
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.88%30.64%30.48%38.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.943.003.2146.51%33.96%33.33%31.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 32.67%3.06السعر العادل
EV -3.64%
الأفضلية -1.23%
Kelly -1.86%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.58%32.65%32.54%33.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.832.852.9538.46%35.35%35.09%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV +10.42%E +3.47%K +5.21%G +0.542% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -32.84%E -14.93%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-26 20:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.59%EV +3.06%E +1.09%K +1.70%G +0.052% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.54%EV -34.36%E -15.98%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.87%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-26 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -2.10%E -0.789%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.18%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.40%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -2.47%E -0.930%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -12.99%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.95%EV -2.92%E -0.918%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.95%EV -2.92%E -0.918%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 06:25 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| BetAnything | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 06:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.61%EV -6.58%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.09%EV -7.56%E -2.67%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -5.78%E -2.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -7.19%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -7.56%E -2.67%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 17:26 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.92%E -2.06%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 08:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.00%EV -10.93%E -4.52%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.44%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -13.51%E -5.75%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -12.99%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |