StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newells Old Boys v San Lorenzo

Matchstart: 2026-04-12 18:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Newells Old Boys 0–0 San Lorenzo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newells Old Boys (Hemma)

Prognos 36.81%2.72rättvist odds
EV +10.42%
Fördel +3.47%
Kelly +5.21%
Tillväxt +0.542%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.43%36.71%36.97%37.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.352.552.553.0042.55%39.24%39.22%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

San Lorenzo (Borta)

Prognos 30.53%3.28rättvist odds
EV -2.00%
Fördel -0.624%
Kelly -0.906%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.88%30.64%30.48%38.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.943.003.2146.51%33.96%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.67%3.06rättvist odds
EV -3.64%
Fördel -1.23%
Kelly -1.86%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.58%32.65%32.54%33.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.832.852.9538.46%35.35%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Newells Old Boys (Hemma): 36.81%; San Lorenzo (Borta): 30.53%; Oavgjort: 32.67%. För Newells Old Boys (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.72. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +10.42%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV +10.42%E +3.47%K +5.21%G +0.542%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -32.84%E -14.93%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-26 20:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.59%EV +3.06%E +1.09%K +1.70%G +0.052%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.54%EV -34.36%E -15.98%K -29.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.87%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-26 20:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -0.626%E -0.232%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -2.10%E -0.789%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.18%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.40%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 17:30
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -2.47%E -0.930%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -12.99%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.95%EV -2.92%E -0.918%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.95%EV -2.92%E -0.918%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 06:25
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:29
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 06:25
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.31%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:29
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.61%EV -6.58%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.09%EV -7.56%E -2.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -5.78%E -2.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -7.19%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -7.56%E -2.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:30
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:29
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:29
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:29
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 17:26
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -6.15%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -16.05%E -5.83%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:29
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:29
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:29
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.99%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.92%E -2.06%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 08:24
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.83%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.00%EV -10.93%E -4.52%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.44%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 17:29
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -11.67%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -15.07%E -5.80%K -9.42%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -13.51%E -5.75%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -12.99%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 17:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%0.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%0.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%0.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%1.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%1.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38%1.9%2026-04-12 17:30