The School of Odds

Independiente Rivadavia v Atlético Huracán

2026-07-30 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Prediction 41.14%2.43fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.52%41.30%41.14%42.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.212.3250%46%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.43%26.23%26.33%27.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.453.6531%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.53%3.07fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.50%32.47%32.53%32.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.802.832.9538%36%35%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.92%EV -4.55%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.40%EV -4.70%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 19:24
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 17:14
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -5.78%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -6.98%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 20:14
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.05%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:59
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.05%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:57
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.00%EV -9.07%E -4.11%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -3.89%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.57%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 16:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 16:58
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.74%E -4.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.18%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-17 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.66%E -7.64%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-17 16:49
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -15.66%E -7.64%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.54%EV -11.00%E -3.25%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.34%EV -13.16%E -4.93%K -7.88%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-17 16:49
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.92%EV -15.66%E -7.64%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -11.79%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.43%EV -13.81%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%16.4%2026-07-17 16:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.02%EV -17.71%E -8.86%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.26%EV -15.74%E -4.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.71%EV -13.81%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-17 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.