La scuola delle quote

Independiente Rivadavia v Atlético Huracán

2026-07-30 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

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23 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Casa)

Previsione 41.33%2.42quota equa
EV -3.70%
Vantaggio -1.59%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.52%41.35%41.36%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.222.252.3350.00%45.08%44.44%42.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Huracán (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.16%3.82quota equa
EV -3.19%
Vantaggio -0.862%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.98%26.19%26.08%27.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.493.503.7031.25%28.69%28.57%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.50%3.08quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.66%32.46%32.56%32.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.852.872.9837.74%35.09%34.84%33.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.73%EV -3.70%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.66%EV -6.85%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.61%EV -5.41%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 09:10
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 02:40
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.14%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 02:40
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 17:14
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 07:53
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:09
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.94%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -7.04%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 09:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.19%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:05
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:59
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:57
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 07:49
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.83%E -3.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:05
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 22:10
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 22:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 10:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 22:05
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-22 13:45
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.27%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-17 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 13:25
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.24%EV -14.03%E -6.75%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.30%EV -11.59%E -4.26%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 22:04
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -17.34%E -8.67%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.98%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.92%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-24 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.02%EV -17.34%E -8.67%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.26%EV -16.27%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.71%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-17 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 41.59%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.96%2.64I 37.88%NM 32.45%16.7%2026-07-20 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:15