L’École des cotes

Independiente Rivadavia v Atlético Huracán

2026-07-30 22:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Résultat du match

23 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Prévision 41.33%2.42cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.52%41.35%41.38%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.222.252.3350.00%45.08%44.44%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético Huracán (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -0.836%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.98%26.21%26.10%27.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.483.503.7031.25%28.71%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.48%3.08cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.66%32.44%32.52%32.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.852.882.9837.74%35.07%34.72%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.76%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -7.28%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.41%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:14
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.22%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 02:40
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.11%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.22%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 02:40
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.44%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 17:14
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 07:53
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.79%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:09
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.44%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.76%EV -5.35%E -2.33%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.86%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 02:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:05
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:59
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.20%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:57
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 07:49
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.83%E -3.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.44%E -2.61%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:05
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 22:10
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 22:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 10:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.47%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 22:05
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-22 13:45
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -11.13%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-17 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 13:25
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.24%EV -14.03%E -6.74%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.30%EV -11.67%E -4.29%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 22:04
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -17.33%E -8.67%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.98%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.92%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.24%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-24 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.02%EV -17.33%E -8.67%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.26%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.71%EV -13.94%E -5.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-17 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 41.59%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.96%2.64I 37.88%NM 32.45%16.7%2026-07-20 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 22:15