Idioma:Español
Independiente Rivadavia v Atlético Huracán
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Predicción 45.91%2.18momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.45%46.22%45.95%49.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.812.002.002.1255.25%50.08%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlético Huracán (Visitante)
Predicción 22.03%4.54momio equitativo
EV +6.84%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.121%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.91%21.87%22.02%23.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.274.204.8525.64%23.40%23.81%20.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.06%3.12momio equitativo
EV +0.993%
Ventaja +0.315%
Kelly +0.462%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.76%31.91%32.03%32.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.903.1536.36%34.17%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 45.91%; Atlético Huracán (Visitante): 22.03%; Empate: 32.06%. Para Atlético Huracán (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.54. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.84%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -8.64%E -4.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.91%EV +6.84%E +1.41%K +1.78%G +0.121% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.56%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -8.64%E -4.34%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.91%EV +6.84%E +1.41%K +1.78%G +0.121% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.56%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.81%EV -12.77%E -6.72%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV +3.53%E +0.752%K +0.955%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV +0.993%E +0.315%K +0.462%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.95%EV -13.23%E -7.00%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV +3.53%E +0.752%K +0.955%G +0.034% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV +0.993%E +0.315%K +0.462%G +0.005% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.96%EV -5.42%E -2.63%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.80%EV +2.43%E +0.523%K +0.666%G +0.016% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.24%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.53%EV +1.99%E +0.430%K +0.548%G +0.011% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.47%EV -3.18%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 21:47 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -13.69%E -7.28%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV +1.33%E +0.289%K +0.369%G +0.005% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV +0.993%E +0.315%K +0.462%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -15.98%E -8.73%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -0.873%E -0.194%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -15.98%E -8.73%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -0.873%E -0.194%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.08%E -0.699%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.64%EV -16.90%E -9.34%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.42%EV -3.08%E -0.699%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-30 21:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.18%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.47%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -5.28%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.28%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -5.28%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.68%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.92%EV -6.80%E -3.35%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -2.67%E -1.26%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.46%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -2.67%E -1.26%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.46%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -13.23%E -7.00%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.17%EV -11.39%E -5.90%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -10.79%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-30 21:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.45%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -9.10%E -4.59%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.04%EV -10.93%E -5.64%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.99%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.34%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -11.85%E -6.17%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -12.99%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -14.09%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69% | 1.0% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |