Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Independiente Rivadavia v Atlético Huracán

Início: 2026-07-30 22:00 UTC

Final: Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 Atlético Huracán

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Previsão 45.91%2.18odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.45%46.22%45.95%49.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.812.002.002.1255.25%50.08%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlético Huracán (Visitante)

Previsão 22.03%4.54odd justa
EV +6.84%
Vantagem +1.41%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescimento +0.121%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.91%21.87%22.02%23.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.274.204.8525.64%23.40%23.81%20.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 32.06%3.12odd justa
EV +0.993%
Vantagem +0.315%
Kelly +0.462%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.76%31.91%32.03%32.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.932.903.1536.36%34.17%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 45.91%; Atlético Huracán (Visitante): 22.03%; Empate: 32.06%. Para Atlético Huracán (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.54. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.84%.

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -8.64%E -4.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.91%EV +6.84%E +1.41%K +1.78%G +0.121%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.56%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-30 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -8.64%E -4.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.91%EV +6.84%E +1.41%K +1.78%G +0.121%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.56%EV -1.89%E -0.619%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-30 21:44
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.81%EV -12.77%E -6.72%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV +3.53%E +0.752%K +0.955%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV +0.993%E +0.315%K +0.462%G +0.005%5.7%2026-07-30 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.95%EV -13.23%E -7.00%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV +3.53%E +0.752%K +0.955%G +0.034%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV +0.993%E +0.315%K +0.462%G +0.005%5.9%2026-07-30 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.96%EV -5.42%E -2.63%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.80%EV +2.43%E +0.523%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.24%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 21:50
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.59%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.53%EV +1.99%E +0.430%K +0.548%G +0.011%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.47%EV -3.18%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 21:47
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -13.69%E -7.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV +1.33%E +0.289%K +0.369%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV +0.993%E +0.315%K +0.462%G +0.005%6.7%2026-07-30 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -15.98%E -8.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -0.873%E -0.194%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -15.98%E -8.73%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -0.873%E -0.194%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 21:50
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.08%E -0.699%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.64%EV -16.90%E -9.34%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.42%EV -3.08%E -0.699%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-30 21:44
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.18%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 21:54
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 21:55
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.47%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 21:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -5.28%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:54
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.28%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 21:50
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -5.28%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.68%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.92%EV -6.80%E -3.35%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 21:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 21:49
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.48%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -2.67%E -1.26%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.46%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 21:50
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -2.67%E -1.26%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -4.46%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -13.23%E -7.00%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -8.58%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-30 21:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.59%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.68%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.17%EV -11.39%E -5.90%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -10.79%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-30 21:53
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.45%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-30 21:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-30 21:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-30 21:45
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -9.10%E -4.59%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-30 21:55
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-30 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.04%EV -10.93%E -5.64%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.99%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.34%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-30 21:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -11.85%E -6.17%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -12.99%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-30 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -14.09%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-30 21:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03%0.7%2026-07-30 21:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%1.0%2026-07-30 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-07-30 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-07-30 21:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-07-30 21:55