Language:English
Independiente Rivadavia v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prediction 65.58%1.52fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -7.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.94%65.48%65.68%67.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.421.421.4774.63%70.63%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)
Prediction 12.64%7.91fair odd
EV +7.32%
Edge +0.862%
Kelly +0.977%
Growth +0.071%
assuming max odds 8.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.34%12.63%12.53%13.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.347.388.4915.38%13.62%13.56%11.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.508%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.14%21.88%21.79%23.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.164.154.5126.67%24.04%24.10%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 65.58%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 12.64%; Draw: 21.78%. For Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.91. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.42%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.34%EV +7.32%E +0.862%K +0.977%G +0.071% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.24%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.24%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV +4.91%E +0.592%K +0.673%G +0.033% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.24%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV +4.91%E +0.592%K +0.673%G +0.033% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.79%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.89%EV +2.26%E +0.279%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.32%EV -1.78%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -10.15%E -7.41%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +1.12%E +0.140%K +0.160%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -1.41%E -0.180%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.23%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.09%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.43%EV -3.93%E -0.518%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -4.18%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.97%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 17:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.91%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.83%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.80%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.51%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.80%EV -12.12%E -9.04%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.16%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.17%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.57%EV -12.12%E -9.04%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.73%EV -12.78%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.70%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.84%E -6.36%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.97%EV -11.46%E -8.49%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.99%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.04%EV -13.32%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.90%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -18.33%E -4.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.44% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:26 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |