Idioma:Español
Independiente Rivadavia v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Predicción 65.58%1.52momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -7.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.94%65.48%65.68%67.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.421.421.4774.63%70.63%70.42%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visitante)
Predicción 12.64%7.91momio equitativo
EV +7.32%
Ventaja +0.862%
Kelly +0.977%
Crecimiento +0.071%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.34%12.63%12.53%13.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.507.347.388.4915.38%13.62%13.56%11.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.78%4.59momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.508%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.14%21.88%21.79%23.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.164.154.5126.67%24.04%24.10%22.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 65.58%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visitante): 12.64%; Empate: 21.78%. Para Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.91. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.49, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.32%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.42%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.34%EV +7.32%E +0.862%K +0.977%G +0.071% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.24%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.24%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV +4.91%E +0.592%K +0.673%G +0.033% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.24%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV +4.91%E +0.592%K +0.673%G +0.033% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.79%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.89%EV +2.26%E +0.279%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.32%EV -1.78%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -10.15%E -7.41%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +1.12%E +0.140%K +0.160%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -1.41%E -0.180%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.23%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.09%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.43%EV -3.93%E -0.518%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -4.18%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.97%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 17:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.91%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.83%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.80%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.51%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.80%EV -12.12%E -9.04%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.16%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.17%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.57%EV -12.12%E -9.04%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.73%EV -12.78%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.70%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.84%E -6.36%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.97%EV -11.46%E -8.49%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.99%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.04%EV -13.32%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.90%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -18.33%E -4.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.44% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:26 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |