StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Independiente Rivadavia v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 17:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Independiente Rivadavia 4–3 Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Independiente Rivadavia (Hemma)

Prognos 65.58%1.52rättvist odds
EV -3.59%
Fördel -2.45%
Kelly -7.65%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.47

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.94%65.48%65.68%67.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.341.421.421.4774.63%70.63%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Borta)

Prognos 12.64%7.91rättvist odds
EV +7.32%
Fördel +0.862%
Kelly +0.977%
Tillväxt +0.071%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.34%12.63%12.53%13.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.507.347.388.4915.38%13.62%13.56%11.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.78%4.59rättvist odds
EV -1.78%
Fördel -0.395%
Kelly -0.508%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.14%21.88%21.79%23.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.164.154.5126.67%24.04%24.10%22.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Independiente Rivadavia (Hemma): 65.58%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Borta): 12.64%; Oavgjort: 21.78%. För Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.91. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.49, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.32%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.42%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.34%EV +7.32%E +0.862%K +0.977%G +0.071%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.24%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.24%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV +4.91%E +0.592%K +0.673%G +0.033%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.24%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV +4.91%E +0.592%K +0.673%G +0.033%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.79%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.89%EV +2.26%E +0.279%K +0.319%G +0.007%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.32%EV -1.78%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -10.15%E -7.41%K -27.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +1.12%E +0.140%K +0.160%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 17:01
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -1.41%E -0.180%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.23%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.09%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.43%EV -3.93%E -0.518%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -4.18%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.97%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:33
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.91%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 17:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 17:30
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.83%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.80%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.51%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.80%EV -12.12%E -9.04%K -35.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.16%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-12 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 17:40
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 16:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.17%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-12 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.57%EV -12.12%E -9.04%K -35.65%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.73%EV -12.78%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.70%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.84%E -6.36%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.97%EV -11.46%E -8.49%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.99%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.04%EV -13.32%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.90%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -18.33%E -4.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-12 17:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.44%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-09-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-12 17:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-12 17:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-12 17:26
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54%2.0%2026-09-12 17:35