Langue:Français
Independiente Rivadavia v Aldosivi Mar del Plata
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prévision 65.58%1.52cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -7.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.94%65.48%65.68%67.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.421.421.4774.63%70.63%70.42%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.64%7.91cote équitable
EV +7.32%
Avantage +0.862%
Kelly +0.977%
Croissance +0.071%
avec la cote maximale 8.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.34%12.63%12.53%13.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.347.388.4915.38%13.62%13.56%11.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.78%4.59cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.395%
Kelly -0.508%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.14%21.88%21.79%23.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.164.154.5126.67%24.04%24.10%22.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Independiente Rivadavia (Local) : 65.58% ; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur) : 12.64% ; Match nul : 21.78%. Pour Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.91. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.49, soit une espérance positive de +7.32%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.42%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.34%EV +7.32%E +0.862%K +0.977%G +0.071% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.24%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.24%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV +4.91%E +0.592%K +0.673%G +0.033% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.24%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV +4.91%E +0.592%K +0.673%G +0.033% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.79%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.89%EV +2.26%E +0.279%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.32%EV -1.78%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -10.15%E -7.41%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +1.12%E +0.140%K +0.160%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 17:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -1.41%E -0.180%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.23%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.09%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.43%EV -3.93%E -0.518%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -4.18%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.97%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 17:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.91%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.83%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.80%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.51%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.80%EV -12.12%E -9.04%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.16%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.17%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.57%EV -12.12%E -9.04%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.73%EV -12.78%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.70%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.84%E -6.36%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.97%EV -11.46%E -8.49%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.99%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.04%EV -13.32%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.90%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -18.33%E -4.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.44% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:26 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |