Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Independiente Rivadavia v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Inizio: 2026-09-12 17:45 UTC

Finale: Independiente Rivadavia 4–3 Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Independiente Rivadavia (Casa)

Previsione 65.58%1.52quota equa
EV -3.59%
Vantaggio -2.45%
Kelly -7.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.94%65.48%65.68%67.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.421.421.4774.63%70.63%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.64%7.91quota equa
EV +7.32%
Vantaggio +0.862%
Kelly +0.977%
Crescita +0.071%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.34%12.63%12.53%13.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.347.388.4915.38%13.62%13.56%11.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.78%4.59quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -0.395%
Kelly -0.508%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.14%21.88%21.79%23.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.164.154.5126.67%24.04%24.10%22.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Independiente Rivadavia (Casa): 65.58%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Trasferta): 12.64%; Pareggio: 21.78%. Per Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.91. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.49, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.32%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.42%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.34%EV +7.32%E +0.862%K +0.977%G +0.071%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.24%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.24%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV +4.91%E +0.592%K +0.673%G +0.033%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.24%EV -4.91%E -3.38%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.40%EV +4.91%E +0.592%K +0.673%G +0.033%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.79%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.89%EV +2.26%E +0.279%K +0.319%G +0.007%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.32%EV -1.78%E -0.395%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -10.15%E -7.41%K -27.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +1.12%E +0.140%K +0.160%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 17:01
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.85%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.25%EV -0.141%E -0.018%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.90%EV -3.74%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -1.41%E -0.180%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.23%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -2.04%E -0.263%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.09%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.43%EV -3.93%E -0.518%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -4.18%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.97%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:33
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.91%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 17:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -5.20%E -0.693%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 17:30
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.83%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.80%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.51%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.80%EV -12.12%E -9.04%K -35.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.16%EV -8.36%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-12 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 17:40
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -3.59%E -2.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 16:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.17%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.52%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-12 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.57%EV -12.12%E -9.04%K -35.65%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.73%EV -12.78%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.70%EV -11.80%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -6.22%E -4.35%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -8.84%E -6.36%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.97%EV -11.46%E -8.49%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.99%EV -14.68%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.04%EV -13.32%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.90%EV -9.50%E -6.88%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.00%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -8.19%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -17.84%E -2.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -18.33%E -4.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-12 17:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.44%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-09-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-12 17:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-12 17:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.27%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-12 17:26
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.69%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.54%2.0%2026-09-12 17:35