赔率学院

Independiente v Defensa y Justicia

开赛时间: 2026-04-18 22:30 UTC

最终结果: Independiente 3–1 Defensa y Justicia

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Independiente (主队)

预测 52.41%1.91公平赔率
EV -3.04%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -3.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
50.75%52.52%52.48%54.24%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.651.761.771.8560.61%56.95%56.50%54.05%MIN均值中位数MAX

Defensa y Justicia (客队)

预测 18.49%5.41公平赔率
EV +10.01%
优势 +1.68%
Kelly +2.02%
增长率 +0.202%

假设最高赔率为 5.95

博彩公司预测分布
16.13%18.38%18.50%20.54%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.404.995.005.9522.73%20.03%20.00%16.81%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 29.10%3.44公平赔率
EV -1.07%
优势 -0.313%
Kelly -0.444%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.69%29.10%29.02%29.98%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.38%31.25%29.41%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.24%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.13%EV +10.01%E +1.68%K +2.02%G +0.202%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 22:25
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.56%EV +7.79%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.126%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -5.72%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 21:10
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 15:45
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 15:45
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.69%E +0.307%K +0.375%G +0.006%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 20:14
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -10.37%E -6.07%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -0.162%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 20:10
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 15:10
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.86%E -0.742%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.05%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.09%EV -4.78%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -9.21%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.07%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 22:15
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.07%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 22:15
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -7.75%E -4.41%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -2.52%E -0.752%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 22:14
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:10
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:00
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 22:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 22:25
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 22:15
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 22:15
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -3.04%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:25
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -3.04%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.42%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.01%EV -10.38%E -3.37%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 22:15
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.86%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:04
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 22:19
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -8.80%E -5.06%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -13.10%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 15:10
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.64%EV -13.52%E -8.19%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.88%EV -14.95%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 22:25
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 22:25
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 22:25
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.21%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -12.47%E -7.47%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -16.20%E -5.62%K -8.62%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-18 22:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.77%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -18.65%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17%2.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%3.0%2026-04-18 22:15