Die Schule der Quoten

Independiente v Defensa y Justicia

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-18 22:30 UTC

Endstand: Independiente 3–1 Defensa y Justicia

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Independiente (Heim)

Prognose 52.41%1.91faire Quote
EV -3.04%
Vorteil -1.64%
Kelly -3.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.75%52.52%52.48%54.24%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.651.761.771.8560.61%56.95%56.50%54.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Defensa y Justicia (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.49%5.41faire Quote
EV +10.01%
Vorteil +1.68%
Kelly +2.02%
Wachstum +0.202%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.13%18.38%18.50%20.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.404.995.005.9522.73%20.03%20.00%16.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.10%3.44faire Quote
EV -1.07%
Vorteil -0.313%
Kelly -0.444%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.69%29.10%29.02%29.98%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.38%31.25%29.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.24%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.13%EV +10.01%E +1.68%K +2.02%G +0.202%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 22:25
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.56%EV +7.79%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.126%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -5.72%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 21:10
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 15:45
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 15:45
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.69%E +0.307%K +0.375%G +0.006%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 20:14
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -10.37%E -6.07%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -0.162%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 20:10
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 15:10
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.86%E -0.742%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.05%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.09%EV -4.78%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -9.21%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.07%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 22:15
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.07%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 22:15
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -7.75%E -4.41%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -2.52%E -0.752%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 22:14
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:10
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:00
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 22:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 22:25
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 22:15
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 22:15
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -3.04%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:25
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -3.04%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.42%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.01%EV -10.38%E -3.37%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 22:15
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.86%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:04
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 22:19
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -8.80%E -5.06%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -13.10%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 15:10
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.64%EV -13.52%E -8.19%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.88%EV -14.95%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 22:25
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 22:25
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 22:25
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.21%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -12.47%E -7.47%K -18.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -16.20%E -5.62%K -8.62%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-18 22:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.77%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -18.65%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17%2.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%3.0%2026-04-18 22:15