La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente v Defensa y Justicia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente (Local)
Predicción 52.41%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -3.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.75%52.52%52.48%54.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.771.8560.61%56.95%56.50%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Defensa y Justicia (Visitante)
Predicción 18.49%5.41momio equitativo
EV +10.01%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +2.02%
Crecimiento +0.202%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.13%18.38%18.50%20.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.995.005.9522.73%20.03%20.00%16.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.10%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.313%
Kelly -0.444%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.69%29.10%29.02%29.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.38%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.24%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.13%EV +10.01%E +1.68%K +2.02%G +0.202% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.56%EV +7.79%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.126% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -5.72%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.69%E +0.307%K +0.375%G +0.006% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -10.37%E -6.07%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -0.162%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.86%E -0.742%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.05%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.09%EV -4.78%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -9.21%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.07%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.07%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -7.75%E -4.41%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -2.52%E -0.752%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 22:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -3.04%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -3.04%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.42%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.01%EV -10.38%E -3.37%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.86%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-18 22:04 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 22:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -8.80%E -5.06%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -13.10%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.64%EV -13.52%E -8.19%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.88%EV -14.95%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.21%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -12.47%E -7.47%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -16.20%E -5.62%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.77%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -18.65%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |