L’École des cotesFrançais
Independiente v Defensa y Justicia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente (Local)
Prévision 52.41%1.91cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.75%52.52%52.48%54.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.761.771.8560.61%56.95%56.50%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.49%5.41cote équitable
EV +10.01%
Avantage +1.68%
Kelly +2.02%
Croissance +0.202%
avec la cote maximale 5.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.13%18.38%18.50%20.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.995.005.9522.73%20.03%20.00%16.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.10%3.44cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.313%
Kelly -0.444%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.69%29.10%29.02%29.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.38%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.24%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.13%EV +10.01%E +1.68%K +2.02%G +0.202% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.56%EV +7.79%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.126% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -5.72%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.69%E +0.307%K +0.375%G +0.006% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -10.37%E -6.07%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -0.162%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.86%E -0.742%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.05%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.09%EV -4.78%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -9.21%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.07%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.07%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -7.75%E -4.41%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -2.52%E -0.752%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 22:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -3.04%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -3.04%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.42%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.01%EV -10.38%E -3.37%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.86%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-18 22:04 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 22:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -8.80%E -5.06%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -13.10%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.64%EV -13.52%E -8.19%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.88%EV -14.95%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.21%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -12.47%E -7.47%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -16.20%E -5.62%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.77%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -18.65%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |