A Escola das OddsIndependiente v Defensa y Justicia
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Independiente (Local)
Previsão 52.41%1.91odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.75%52.52%52.48%54.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.761.771.8560.61%56.95%56.50%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Defensa y Justicia (Visitante)
Previsão 18.49%5.41odd justa
EV +10.01%
Vantagem +1.68%
Kelly +2.02%
Crescimento +0.202%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.95
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.13%18.38%18.50%20.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.404.995.005.9522.73%20.03%20.00%16.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 29.10%3.44odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.313%
Kelly -0.444%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.69%29.10%29.02%29.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.38%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.24%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.13%EV +10.01%E +1.68%K +2.02%G +0.202% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.56%EV +7.79%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.126% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -5.72%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.60%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +1.69%E +0.307%K +0.375%G +0.006% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -10.37%E -6.07%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -0.162%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 20:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.86%E -0.742%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.05%EV -6.18%E -3.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.09%EV -4.78%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -9.21%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.07%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.07%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -7.75%E -4.41%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -2.52%E -0.752%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 22:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.28%E -4.73%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -3.04%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -3.04%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.42%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.01%EV -10.38%E -3.37%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.86%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-18 22:04 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -10.90%E -6.41%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.70%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.97%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.88%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 22:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -12.18%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -8.80%E -5.06%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -13.10%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.64%EV -13.52%E -8.19%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.88%EV -14.95%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.66%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.21%EV -11.95%E -7.11%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -9.79%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -12.47%E -7.47%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -16.20%E -5.62%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.77%EV -6.70%E -3.77%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -18.65%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 22:15 |