Language:English
Estudiantes v Newells Old Boys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes (Local)
Prediction 58.15%1.72fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -5.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.36%58.15%58.08%60.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.591.601.6666.23%62.73%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newells Old Boys (Visit)
Prediction 15.20%6.58fair odd
EV +6.40%
Edge +0.914%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.068%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.83%15.21%15.23%17.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.046.007.0019.23%16.55%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -0.869%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.320%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%26.65%26.68%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.453.7231.25%28.83%28.99%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes (Local): 58.15%; Newells Old Boys (Visit): 15.20%; Draw: 26.65%. For Newells Old Boys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.58. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.12%EV +3.81%E +0.558%K +0.654%G +0.025% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -2.47%E -0.674%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.83%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.35%EV +1.68%E +0.252%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.15%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -7.54%E -4.74%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 21:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -3.48%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.83%EV -4.24%E -0.674%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.83%EV -4.24%E -0.674%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.22%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.68%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.22%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV -5.76%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.03%E -7.21%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.14%EV -11.84%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.73%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 21:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.06%EV -12.19%E -8.07%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.38%EV -13.36%E -2.34%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.68%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -14.88%E -2.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -16.40%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -9.28%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.40%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -17.92%E -3.32%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -20.20%E -3.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -20.20%E -3.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.57%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -20.96%E -4.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.39% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.14% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |