Langue:Français
Estudiantes v Newells Old Boys
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Estudiantes (Local)
Prévision 58.15%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -5.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.36%58.15%58.08%60.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.591.601.6666.23%62.73%62.50%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Newells Old Boys (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.20%6.58cote équitable
EV +6.40%
Avantage +0.914%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.068%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.83%15.21%15.23%17.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.206.046.007.0019.23%16.55%16.67%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.65%3.75cote équitable
EV -0.869%
Avantage -0.234%
Kelly -0.320%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%26.65%26.68%27.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.453.7231.25%28.83%28.99%26.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Estudiantes (Local) : 58.15% ; Newells Old Boys (Visiteur) : 15.20% ; Match nul : 26.65%. Pour Newells Old Boys (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.58. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +6.40%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.12%EV +3.81%E +0.558%K +0.654%G +0.025% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -2.47%E -0.674%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.83%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.35%EV +1.68%E +0.252%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.15%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -7.54%E -4.74%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 21:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -3.48%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.83%EV -4.24%E -0.674%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.83%EV -4.24%E -0.674%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.22%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.68%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.22%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV -5.76%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.03%E -7.21%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.14%EV -11.84%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.73%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 21:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.06%EV -12.19%E -8.07%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.38%EV -13.36%E -2.34%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.68%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -14.88%E -2.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -16.40%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -9.28%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.40%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -17.92%E -3.32%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -20.20%E -3.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -20.20%E -3.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.57%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -20.96%E -4.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.39% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.14% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |