语言:简体中文
Estudiantes v Newells Old Boys
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Estudiantes (主队)
预测 58.15%1.72公平赔率
EV -3.47%
优势 -2.09%
Kelly -5.25%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.66
博彩公司预测分布
56.36%58.15%58.08%60.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.591.601.6666.23%62.73%62.50%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
Newells Old Boys (客队)
预测 15.20%6.58公平赔率
EV +6.40%
优势 +0.914%
Kelly +1.07%
增长率 +0.068%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.83%15.21%15.23%17.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.206.046.007.0019.23%16.55%16.67%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.65%3.75公平赔率
EV -0.869%
优势 -0.234%
Kelly -0.320%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.72
博彩公司预测分布
26.03%26.65%26.68%27.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.473.453.7231.25%28.83%28.99%26.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Estudiantes (主队)：58.15%；Newells Old Boys (客队)：15.20%；平局：26.65%。 对于“Newells Old Boys (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.58。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.00，对应+6.40%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.12%EV +3.81%E +0.558%K +0.654%G +0.025% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -2.47%E -0.674%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.83%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.35%EV +1.68%E +0.252%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.15%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -7.54%E -4.74%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 21:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -3.48%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.83%EV -4.24%E -0.674%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.83%EV -4.24%E -0.674%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.22%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.68%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.22%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV -5.76%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.03%E -7.21%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.14%EV -11.84%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.73%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 21:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.06%EV -12.19%E -8.07%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.38%EV -13.36%E -2.34%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.68%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -14.88%E -2.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -16.40%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -9.28%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.40%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -17.92%E -3.32%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -20.20%E -3.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -20.20%E -3.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.57%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -20.96%E -4.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.39% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.14% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |