Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Estudiantes v Newells Old Boys

Inizio: 2026-08-31 22:00 UTC

Finale: Estudiantes 0–0 Newells Old Boys

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Estudiantes (Casa)

Previsione 58.15%1.72quota equa
EV -3.47%
Vantaggio -2.09%
Kelly -5.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.36%58.15%58.08%60.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.591.601.6666.23%62.73%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Newells Old Boys (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.20%6.58quota equa
EV +6.40%
Vantaggio +0.914%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescita +0.068%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.83%15.21%15.23%17.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.206.046.007.0019.23%16.55%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.65%3.75quota equa
EV -0.869%
Vantaggio -0.234%
Kelly -0.320%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.03%26.65%26.68%27.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.473.453.7231.25%28.83%28.99%26.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Estudiantes (Casa): 58.15%; Newells Old Boys (Trasferta): 15.20%; Pareggio: 26.65%. Per Newells Old Boys (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.58. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.40%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 21:45
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 21:50
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.12%EV +3.81%E +0.558%K +0.654%G +0.025%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -2.47%E -0.674%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 21:45
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.83%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.35%EV +1.68%E +0.252%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.15%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 21:45
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -7.54%E -4.74%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 21:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -3.48%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 21:54
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.83%EV -4.24%E -0.674%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 21:55
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.83%EV -4.24%E -0.674%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.22%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.68%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 21:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.22%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV -5.76%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 21:30
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 21:50
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 21:54
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 21:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 21:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.03%E -7.21%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.14%EV -11.84%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.73%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:55
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 21:40
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 21:40
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 21:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 21:36
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.06%EV -12.19%E -8.07%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.38%EV -13.36%E -2.34%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-31 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.68%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -14.88%E -2.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -16.40%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -9.28%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.40%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -17.92%E -3.32%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -20.20%E -3.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -20.20%E -3.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.57%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -20.96%E -4.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 21:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.39%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-08-31 21:55
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-31 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-08-31 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-08-31 21:50
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.14%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.3%2026-08-31 21:55