Idioma:Español
Estudiantes v Newells Old Boys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Estudiantes (Local)
Predicción 58.15%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -5.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.36%58.15%58.08%60.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.511.591.601.6666.23%62.73%62.50%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Newells Old Boys (Visitante)
Predicción 15.20%6.58momio equitativo
EV +6.40%
Ventaja +0.914%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.83%15.21%15.23%17.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.206.046.007.0019.23%16.55%16.67%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.65%3.75momio equitativo
EV -0.869%
Ventaja -0.234%
Kelly -0.320%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%26.65%26.68%27.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.453.7231.25%28.83%28.99%26.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Estudiantes (Local): 58.15%; Newells Old Boys (Visitante): 15.20%; Empate: 26.65%. Para Newells Old Boys (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.58. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +6.40%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.068% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -0.869%E -0.234%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.53%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.12%EV +3.81%E +0.558%K +0.654%G +0.025% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -2.47%E -0.674%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.83%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.35%EV +1.68%E +0.252%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.15%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -7.54%E -4.74%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -1.20%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 21:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -3.48%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.83%EV -4.24%E -0.674%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.83%EV -4.24%E -0.674%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.22%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.68%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -5.00%E -0.801%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.22%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV -5.76%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -5.79%E -3.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.80%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -11.03%E -7.21%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.14%EV -11.84%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.73%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.23%EV -4.63%E -2.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.37%E -3.96%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.60%E -2.19%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 21:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.06%EV -12.19%E -8.07%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.38%EV -13.36%E -2.34%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.68%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -14.88%E -2.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -16.40%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.40%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.61%EV -9.28%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.40%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -5.21%E -3.20%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -17.92%E -3.32%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -20.20%E -3.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -8.70%E -5.54%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.92%EV -20.20%E -3.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -10.73%E -3.20%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.57%EV -9.86%E -6.36%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -20.96%E -4.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.39% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.14% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |