语言:简体中文
Estudiantes v Defensa y Justicia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Estudiantes (主队)
预测 58.95%1.70公平赔率
EV -2.73%
优势 -1.65%
Kelly -4.20%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.65
博彩公司预测分布
57.49%58.84%58.93%60.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.581.591.6567.57%63.20%62.89%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
Defensa y Justicia (客队)
预测 15.13%6.61公平赔率
EV +1.99%
优势 +0.295%
Kelly +0.346%
增长率 +0.007%
假设最高赔率为 6.74
博彩公司预测分布
14.26%15.17%15.13%16.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.606.156.006.7417.86%16.26%16.67%14.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.92%3.86公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.399%
Kelly -0.542%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.80
博彩公司预测分布
25.03%26.00%25.94%27.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.543.553.8029.85%28.23%28.17%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Estudiantes (主队)：58.95%；Defensa y Justicia (客队)：15.13%；平局：25.92%。 对于“Defensa y Justicia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.61。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.74，对应+1.99%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.60%EV -3.32%E -2.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.26%EV +1.99%E +0.295%K +0.346%G +0.007% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -8.25%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.53%EV +0.623%E +0.094%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.52%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.53%EV +0.623%E +0.094%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.52%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.86%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.58%EV +0.018%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.56%EV -2.29%E -0.609%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.60%EV -2.40%E -0.373%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.43%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 20:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.43%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.63%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.88%EV -12.16%E -8.16%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.63%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 20:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 20:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 20:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.62%E -5.56%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.11%EV -10.98%E -7.27%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.08%EV -12.75%E -8.62%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -10.73%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.06%EV -9.21%E -5.98%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -12.24%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.84%EV -10.39%E -6.84%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -15.26%E -2.73%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.94% | 0.1% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |