StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Estudiantes v Defensa y Justicia

Matchstart: 2026-08-01 21:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Estudiantes 3–0 Defensa y Justicia

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Estudiantes (Hemma)

Prognos 58.95%1.70rättvist odds
EV -2.73%
Fördel -1.65%
Kelly -4.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.49%58.84%58.93%60.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.481.581.591.6567.57%63.20%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Defensa y Justicia (Borta)

Prognos 15.13%6.61rättvist odds
EV +1.99%
Fördel +0.295%
Kelly +0.346%
Tillväxt +0.007%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.26%15.17%15.13%16.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.606.156.006.7417.86%16.26%16.67%14.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.92%3.86rättvist odds
EV -1.52%
Fördel -0.399%
Kelly -0.542%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.03%26.00%25.94%27.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.353.543.553.8029.85%28.23%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Estudiantes (Hemma): 58.95%; Defensa y Justicia (Borta): 15.13%; Oavgjort: 25.92%. För Defensa y Justicia (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.61. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.74, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.99%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.60%EV -3.32%E -2.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.26%EV +1.99%E +0.295%K +0.346%G +0.007%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -8.25%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.53%EV +0.623%E +0.094%K +0.110%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.52%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 20:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.53%EV +0.623%E +0.094%K +0.110%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.52%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.86%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.58%EV +0.018%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.56%EV -2.29%E -0.609%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:24
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:49
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:55
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.60%EV -2.40%E -0.373%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:55
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 20:35
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 20:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.43%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 20:34
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.43%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.63%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.88%EV -12.16%E -8.16%K -24.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.63%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 20:39
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:40
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 20:49
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 20:34
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 20:29
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 20:54
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 20:55
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 20:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.62%E -5.56%K -15.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.11%EV -10.98%E -7.27%K -21.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 20:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.08%EV -12.75%E -8.62%K -26.56%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -10.73%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 20:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.06%EV -9.21%E -5.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -12.24%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 20:39
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 20:55
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 20:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.84%EV -10.39%E -6.84%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -15.26%E -2.73%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 20:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.94%0.1%2026-08-01 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-08-01 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-08-01 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-08-01 20:50
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-08-01 20:35