Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Estudiantes v Defensa y Justicia

Inizio: 2026-08-01 21:00 UTC

Finale: Estudiantes 3–0 Defensa y Justicia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Estudiantes (Casa)

Previsione 58.95%1.70quota equa
EV -2.73%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -4.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.49%58.84%58.93%60.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.581.591.6567.57%63.20%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Defensa y Justicia (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.13%6.61quota equa
EV +1.99%
Vantaggio +0.295%
Kelly +0.346%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.26%15.17%15.13%16.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.606.156.006.7417.86%16.26%16.67%14.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.92%3.86quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.399%
Kelly -0.542%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.03%26.00%25.94%27.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.543.553.8029.85%28.23%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Estudiantes (Casa): 58.95%; Defensa y Justicia (Trasferta): 15.13%; Pareggio: 25.92%. Per Defensa y Justicia (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.61. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.74, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.99%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.60%EV -3.32%E -2.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.26%EV +1.99%E +0.295%K +0.346%G +0.007%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -8.25%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.53%EV +0.623%E +0.094%K +0.110%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.52%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 20:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.53%EV +0.623%E +0.094%K +0.110%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.52%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.86%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.58%EV +0.018%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.56%EV -2.29%E -0.609%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:24
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:49
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:55
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.60%EV -2.40%E -0.373%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:55
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 20:35
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 20:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.43%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 20:34
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.43%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.63%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.88%EV -12.16%E -8.16%K -24.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.63%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 20:39
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:40
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 20:49
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 20:34
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 20:29
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 20:54
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 20:55
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 20:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.62%E -5.56%K -15.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.11%EV -10.98%E -7.27%K -21.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 20:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.08%EV -12.75%E -8.62%K -26.56%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -10.73%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 20:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.06%EV -9.21%E -5.98%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -12.24%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 20:39
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 20:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 20:55
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 20:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.84%EV -10.39%E -6.84%K -19.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -15.26%E -2.73%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 20:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.94%0.1%2026-08-01 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-08-01 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-08-01 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-08-01 20:50
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-08-01 20:35