Idioma:Español
Estudiantes v Defensa y Justicia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Estudiantes (Local)
Predicción 58.95%1.70momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -4.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.49%58.84%58.93%60.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.581.591.6567.57%63.20%62.89%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Defensa y Justicia (Visitante)
Predicción 15.13%6.61momio equitativo
EV +1.99%
Ventaja +0.295%
Kelly +0.346%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.26%15.17%15.13%16.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.606.156.006.7417.86%16.26%16.67%14.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.92%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.399%
Kelly -0.542%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%26.00%25.94%27.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.543.553.8029.85%28.23%28.17%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Estudiantes (Local): 58.95%; Defensa y Justicia (Visitante): 15.13%; Empate: 25.92%. Para Defensa y Justicia (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.61. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.74, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.99%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.60%EV -3.32%E -2.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.26%EV +1.99%E +0.295%K +0.346%G +0.007% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -8.25%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.53%EV +0.623%E +0.094%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.52%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.53%EV +0.623%E +0.094%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.52%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.86%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.58%EV +0.018%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.56%EV -2.29%E -0.609%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.60%EV -2.40%E -0.373%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.43%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 20:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.43%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.63%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.88%EV -12.16%E -8.16%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.63%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 20:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 20:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 20:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.62%E -5.56%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.11%EV -10.98%E -7.27%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.08%EV -12.75%E -8.62%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -10.73%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.06%EV -9.21%E -5.98%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -12.24%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.84%EV -10.39%E -6.84%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -15.26%E -2.73%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.94% | 0.1% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |