Langue:Français
Estudiantes v Defensa y Justicia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Estudiantes (Local)
Prévision 58.95%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -4.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.49%58.84%58.93%60.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.581.591.6567.57%63.20%62.89%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.13%6.61cote équitable
EV +1.99%
Avantage +0.295%
Kelly +0.346%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 6.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.26%15.17%15.13%16.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.606.156.006.7417.86%16.26%16.67%14.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.92%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.399%
Kelly -0.542%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%26.00%25.94%27.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.543.553.8029.85%28.23%28.17%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Estudiantes (Local) : 58.95% ; Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur) : 15.13% ; Match nul : 25.92%. Pour Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.61. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.74, soit une espérance positive de +1.99%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.60%EV -3.32%E -2.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.26%EV +1.99%E +0.295%K +0.346%G +0.007% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.15%EV -8.25%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.53%EV +0.623%E +0.094%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.52%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.53%EV +0.623%E +0.094%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.52%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.86%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.58%EV +0.018%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.56%EV -2.29%E -0.609%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.65%E -0.253%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.60%EV -2.40%E -0.373%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -2.73%E -1.65%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -3.16%E -0.494%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.43%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 20:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.43%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.38%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.63%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.88%EV -12.16%E -8.16%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.63%EV -7.70%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.01%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 20:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 20:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 20:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.45%E -4.74%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.62%E -5.56%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.11%EV -10.98%E -7.27%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -9.21%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.08%EV -12.75%E -8.62%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -10.73%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.06%EV -9.21%E -5.98%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -12.24%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.81%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -9.80%E -6.41%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.88%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.84%EV -10.39%E -6.84%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -15.26%E -2.73%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.94% | 0.1% | 2026-08-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 20:35 |