Language:English
Deportivo Riestra v Lanus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportivo Riestra (Local)
Prediction 30.34%3.30fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.485%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.63%30.37%30.40%32.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.043.023.2634.72%32.91%33.06%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lanus (Visit)
Prediction 34.52%2.90fair odd
EV +3.21%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.11%34.58%34.45%35.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.672.672.9940.82%37.44%37.38%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 35.14%2.85fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.45%35.05%35.15%35.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.652.7540.00%37.88%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 30.34%; Lanus (Visit): 34.52%; Draw: 35.14%. For Lanus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.72%E -4.03%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.11%EV +3.21%E +1.07%K +1.61%G +0.052% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -2.66%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -2.66%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.72%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -9.22%E -3.50%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.31%EV -11.29%E -4.39%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.28%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.76%EV -11.44%E -4.54%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-14 21:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.18%EV -12.63%E -4.38%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.05%EV -14.39%E -5.80%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.77%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -15.43%E -6.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.12% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30% | 1.9% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |