Idioma:Español
Deportivo Riestra v Lanus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportivo Riestra (Local)
Predicción 30.34%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.336%
Kelly -0.485%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.63%30.37%30.40%32.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.043.023.2634.72%32.91%33.06%30.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lanus (Visitante)
Predicción 34.52%2.90momio equitativo
EV +3.21%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.11%34.58%34.45%35.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.672.672.9940.82%37.44%37.38%33.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 35.14%2.85momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.45%35.05%35.15%35.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.642.652.7540.00%37.88%37.74%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 30.34%; Lanus (Visitante): 34.52%; Empate: 35.14%. Para Lanus (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.90. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.99, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.21%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.72%E -4.03%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.11%EV +3.21%E +1.07%K +1.61%G +0.052% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -2.66%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -2.66%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.72%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -9.22%E -3.50%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.31%EV -11.29%E -4.39%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.28%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.76%EV -11.44%E -4.54%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-14 21:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.18%EV -12.63%E -4.38%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.05%EV -14.39%E -5.80%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.77%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -15.43%E -6.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.12% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30% | 1.9% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |