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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Deportivo Riestra v Lanus

开赛时间： 2026-09-14 22:00 UTC

最终结果： Deportivo Riestra 0–3 Lanus

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Deportivo Riestra (主队)

预测 30.34%3.30公平赔率
EV -1.10%
优势 -0.336%
Kelly -0.485%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.26

博彩公司预测分布
29.63%30.37%30.40%32.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.043.023.2634.72%32.91%33.06%30.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lanus (客队)

预测 34.52%2.90公平赔率
EV +3.21%
优势 +1.07%
Kelly +1.61%
增长率 +0.052%

假设最高赔率为 2.99

博彩公司预测分布
32.11%34.58%34.45%35.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.672.672.9940.82%37.44%37.38%33.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 35.14%2.85公平赔率
EV -3.36%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -1.92%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
33.45%35.05%35.15%35.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.642.652.7540.00%37.88%37.74%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Deportivo Riestra (主队)：30.34%；Lanus (客队)：34.52%；平局：35.14%。 对于“Lanus (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.90。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.99，对应+3.21%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.72%E -4.03%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.11%EV +3.21%E +1.07%K +1.61%G +0.052%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 21:55
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -2.66%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 21:50
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -2.66%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 21:50
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.622%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.72%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-14 21:46
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 21:40
BetAnything🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 21:46
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:35
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 21:55
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 21:50
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 21:55
theScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 21:55
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 21:45
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 21:50
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 21:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 21:50
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 21:50
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -9.22%E -3.50%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 21:45
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 21:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 21:50
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-14 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 21:50
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 21:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.31%EV -11.29%E -4.39%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.28%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-14 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.76%EV -11.44%E -4.54%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-14 21:53
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.18%EV -12.63%E -4.38%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.05%EV -14.39%E -5.80%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.77%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-14 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -15.43%E -6.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-14 21:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%1.2%2026-09-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45%1.5%2026-09-14 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45%1.5%2026-09-14 21:55
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.12%1.7%2026-09-14 21:55
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%1.9%2026-09-14 21:50