Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Deportivo Riestra v Lanus

Inizio: 2026-09-14 22:00 UTC

Finale: Deportivo Riestra 0–3 Lanus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Deportivo Riestra (Casa)

Previsione 30.34%3.30quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.336%
Kelly -0.485%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.63%30.37%30.40%32.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.043.023.2634.72%32.91%33.06%30.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lanus (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.52%2.90quota equa
EV +3.21%
Vantaggio +1.07%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.11%34.58%34.45%35.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.672.672.9940.82%37.44%37.38%33.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 35.14%2.85quota equa
EV -3.36%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -1.92%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.45%35.05%35.15%35.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.642.652.7540.00%37.88%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Deportivo Riestra (Casa): 30.34%; Lanus (Trasferta): 34.52%; Pareggio: 35.14%. Per Lanus (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.90. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.99, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.21%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.72%E -4.03%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.11%EV +3.21%E +1.07%K +1.61%G +0.052%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 21:55
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -2.66%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 21:50
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -2.66%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 21:50
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.622%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.72%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-14 21:46
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 21:40
BetAnything🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 21:46
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:35
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 21:55
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 21:50
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 21:55
theScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 21:55
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 21:45
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 21:50
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 21:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 21:50
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 21:50
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -9.22%E -3.50%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 21:45
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 21:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 21:50
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-14 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 21:50
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 21:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.31%EV -11.29%E -4.39%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.28%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-14 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.76%EV -11.44%E -4.54%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-14 21:53
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.18%EV -12.63%E -4.38%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.05%EV -14.39%E -5.80%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.77%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-14 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -15.43%E -6.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-14 21:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%1.2%2026-09-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45%1.5%2026-09-14 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45%1.5%2026-09-14 21:55
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.12%1.7%2026-09-14 21:55
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%1.9%2026-09-14 21:50