Langue:Français
Deportivo Riestra v Lanus
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Deportivo Riestra (Local)
Prévision 30.34%3.30cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.336%
Kelly -0.485%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.63%30.37%30.40%32.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.043.023.2634.72%32.91%33.06%30.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lanus (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.52%2.90cote équitable
EV +3.21%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.052%
avec la cote maximale 2.99
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.11%34.58%34.45%35.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.672.672.9940.82%37.44%37.38%33.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 35.14%2.85cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.45%35.05%35.15%35.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.642.652.7540.00%37.88%37.74%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Deportivo Riestra (Local) : 30.34% ; Lanus (Visiteur) : 34.52% ; Match nul : 35.14%. Pour Lanus (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.90. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.99, soit une espérance positive de +3.21%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.72%E -4.03%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.11%EV +3.21%E +1.07%K +1.61%G +0.052% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -2.66%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -2.66%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.72%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.63%EV -1.10%E -0.336%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -4.73%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -9.22%E -3.50%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-14 21:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.31%EV -11.29%E -4.39%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.28%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.76%EV -11.44%E -4.54%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-14 21:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.18%EV -12.63%E -4.38%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.05%EV -14.39%E -5.80%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.77%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -15.43%E -6.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.12% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30% | 1.9% | 2026-09-14 21:50 |