Szkoła Kursów

Defensa y Justicia v Union Santa Fe

Początek: 2026-03-21 20:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

37 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Defensa y Justicia (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 31.89%3.14kurs godziwy
EV -1.77%
Przewaga -0.576%
Kelly -0.853%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.08

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.13%31.97%31.83%34.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.632.872.903.0838.02%34.82%34.48%32.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Union Santa Fe (Goście)

Prognoza 36.08%2.77kurs godziwy
EV -0.786%
Przewaga -0.286%
Kelly -0.449%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.21%36.01%36.11%37.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.562.602.7543.48%39.04%38.46%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 32.03%3.12kurs godziwy
EV -2.31%
Przewaga -0.756%
Kelly -1.13%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.70%32.02%32.05%33.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.882.903.0540.00%34.71%34.48%32.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (37 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.46%EV -1.77%E -0.576%K -0.853%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.02%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.52%EV -4.55%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 20:40
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -2.73%E -0.896%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:39
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -2.73%E -0.896%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:39
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:39
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:33
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:14
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.28%E -1.78%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:35
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:30
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:38
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:34
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:34
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:39
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.42%EV -2.23%E -0.822%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.47%EV -2.31%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:40
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 08:39
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:29
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:34
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 20:39
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 20:39
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 08:39
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:29
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -17.02%E -7.40%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-21 20:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.11%E -3.20%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:40
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.75%E -3.44%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.90%EV -12.69%E -5.24%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.35%E -3.31%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 20:33
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:29
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 20:29
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -17.02%E -7.40%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -19.92%E -7.97%K -13.28%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-21 20:39
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -14.85%E -5.56%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -10.89%E -4.41%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 20:39
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 20:30
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -16.13%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-03-21 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%1.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%3.1%2026-03-21 20:29