مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Defensa y Justicia v Union Santa Fe
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Defensa y Justicia (المضيف)
التنبؤ 31.89%3.14السعر العادل
EV -1.77%
الأفضلية -0.576%
Kelly -0.853%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.08
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.13%31.97%31.83%34.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.872.903.0838.02%34.82%34.48%32.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Union Santa Fe (الضيف)
التنبؤ 36.08%2.77السعر العادل
EV -0.786%
الأفضلية -0.286%
Kelly -0.449%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.21%36.01%36.11%37.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.562.602.7543.48%39.04%38.46%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 32.03%3.12السعر العادل
EV -2.31%
الأفضلية -0.756%
Kelly -1.13%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.70%32.02%32.05%33.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.882.903.0540.00%34.71%34.48%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (37 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.46%EV -1.77%E -0.576%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.02%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.52%EV -4.55%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -2.73%E -0.896%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -2.73%E -0.896%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:33 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 13:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.28%E -1.78%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:30 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:38 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| BetAnything | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.42%EV -2.23%E -0.822%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.47%EV -2.31%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 08:39 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -17.02%E -7.40%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.11%E -3.20%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.75%E -3.44%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.90%EV -12.69%E -5.24%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.35%E -3.31%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-21 20:33 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -17.02%E -7.40%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -19.92%E -7.97%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -14.85%E -5.56%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -10.89%E -4.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 20:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -16.13%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |