L’École des cotesFrançais
Defensa y Justicia v Union Santa Fe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Prévision 31.89%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.576%
Kelly -0.853%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.13%31.97%31.83%34.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.872.903.0838.02%34.82%34.48%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Union Santa Fe (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.08%2.77cote équitable
EV -0.786%
Avantage -0.286%
Kelly -0.449%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.21%36.01%36.11%37.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.562.602.7543.48%39.04%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.03%3.12cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.756%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.70%32.02%32.05%33.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.882.903.0540.00%34.71%34.48%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.46%EV -1.77%E -0.576%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.02%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.52%EV -4.55%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -2.73%E -0.896%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -2.73%E -0.896%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:33 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 13:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.28%E -1.78%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:30 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:38 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| BetAnything | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.42%EV -2.23%E -0.822%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.47%EV -2.31%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 08:39 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -17.02%E -7.40%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.11%E -3.20%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.75%E -3.44%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.90%EV -12.69%E -5.24%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.35%E -3.31%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-21 20:33 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -17.02%E -7.40%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -19.92%E -7.97%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -14.85%E -5.56%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -10.89%E -4.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 20:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -16.13%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 20:29 |