La scuola delle quote

Defensa y Justicia v Union Santa Fe

Inizio: 2026-03-21 20:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Defensa y Justicia (Casa)

Previsione 31.89%3.14quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.576%
Kelly -0.853%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.13%31.97%31.83%34.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.872.903.0838.02%34.82%34.48%32.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Union Santa Fe (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.08%2.77quota equa
EV -0.786%
Vantaggio -0.286%
Kelly -0.449%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.21%36.01%36.11%37.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.562.602.7543.48%39.04%38.46%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.03%3.12quota equa
EV -2.31%
Vantaggio -0.756%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.70%32.02%32.05%33.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.882.903.0540.00%34.71%34.48%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.46%EV -1.77%E -0.576%K -0.853%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.02%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.52%EV -4.55%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 20:40
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -2.73%E -0.896%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:39
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -2.73%E -0.896%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:39
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:39
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:33
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:14
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.28%E -1.78%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:35
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:30
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:38
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:34
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:34
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:39
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.42%EV -2.23%E -0.822%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.47%EV -2.31%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:40
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 08:39
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:29
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:34
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 20:39
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 20:39
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 08:39
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:29
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -17.02%E -7.40%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-21 20:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.11%E -3.20%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:40
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.75%E -3.44%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.90%EV -12.69%E -5.24%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.35%E -3.31%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 20:33
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:29
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 20:29
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -17.02%E -7.40%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -19.92%E -7.97%K -13.28%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-21 20:39
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -14.85%E -5.56%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -10.89%E -4.41%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 20:39
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 20:30
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -16.13%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-03-21 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%1.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%3.1%2026-03-21 20:29