Die Schule der Quoten

Defensa y Justicia v Union Santa Fe

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-21 20:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Defensa y Justicia (Heim)

Prognose 31.89%3.14faire Quote
EV -1.77%
Vorteil -0.576%
Kelly -0.853%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.13%31.97%31.83%34.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.632.872.903.0838.02%34.82%34.48%32.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Union Santa Fe (Auswärts)

Prognose 36.08%2.77faire Quote
EV -0.786%
Vorteil -0.286%
Kelly -0.449%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.21%36.01%36.11%37.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.562.602.7543.48%39.04%38.46%36.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 32.03%3.12faire Quote
EV -2.31%
Vorteil -0.756%
Kelly -1.13%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.70%32.02%32.05%33.21%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.502.882.903.0540.00%34.71%34.48%32.79%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.46%EV -1.77%E -0.576%K -0.853%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.02%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.52%EV -4.55%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 20:40
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -2.73%E -0.896%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:39
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -2.73%E -0.896%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -6.47%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:39
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:39
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:33
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:14
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.28%E -1.78%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:35
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:30
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:38
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:34
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:34
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:39
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.42%EV -2.23%E -0.822%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.47%EV -2.31%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:40
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 08:39
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:29
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:34
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 20:39
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 20:39
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 08:39
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 20:29
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -8.15%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -17.02%E -7.40%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-21 20:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.11%E -3.20%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:40
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.75%E -3.44%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.90%EV -12.69%E -5.24%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.35%E -3.31%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 20:33
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:29
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -0.786%E -0.286%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 20:29
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -13.89%E -5.15%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -17.02%E -7.40%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -19.92%E -7.97%K -13.28%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-21 20:39
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -14.85%E -5.56%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -10.89%E -4.41%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 20:39
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 20:30
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -5.84%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -7.75%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -16.13%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 20:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-03-21 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%1.6%2026-03-21 20:40
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%3.1%2026-03-21 20:29